Reality vs. Math

It’s been a while since my last post, so I’ll keep this brief (like slowly rising up from scuba diving underwater so as not to get “the bends”).

There’s been a considerable amount of news surrounding a general theme: Reality vs. Math.

You have the FBI vs. Apple decryption/backdoor/[insert sensationalist doomsday title here] case where first the FBI wanted a backdoor in Apple’s encryption algorithm used to encrypt iOS 9 devices (which, by the way, is incredibly unsafe), then they wanted Apple to create an entirely new variant of iOS 9 where brute-forcing the PIN wouldn’t result in a (growing) timed lockout/causing the system to erase the drive entirely.

How does this tie into the “Reality vs. Math” schtick?

  • You can’t break encryption. The math is there and it’s rock solid.

But in the end, the FBI found some outside contractor know one knows about yet to help them crack the San Bernardino Shooter’s phone, so they dropped the case.

What a great use of taxpayer money.

End /s tag.

Then you have something more political: the race for the Democratic Nomination between Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders and former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton.

As of this writing, Bernie Sanders is roughly 270 delegates behind Hillary Clinton. The math is not in his favor, yet his campaign and his supporters still believe he has a chance at securing the nomination. After the caucuses in Washington, Alaska, and Hawaii, Senator Sanders must win 57% of the vote in the remaining states in order to secure the nomination. The last time a nominee came back from a 200+ delegate deficit after Super Tuesday was…never. The last time someone came close was 2008…between Barack Obama and…the current front-runner, Hillary Clinton. And she ended up being within under 80 delegates by the Democratic National Convention.

Can Senator Sanders win the remaining states by double-digit margins?

Let’s see, there are two big-named states that come to mind:

  1. California
    • Huge minority population (Latino, Black, Asian)
      • Sanders has yet to perform well with non-white voters (see: South Carolina, Ohio)
    • Illusion of super-progressive, but voted for Proposition 8 (which banned gay marriage…and was later overturned in the supreme court) and against the legalization of recreational marijuana
  2. New York
    • Clinton was voted – not once – but twice as the state’s Senator
    • Home of Wall Street (cue Sanders’ “Millionayhers and Billionayher”)

If Sanders can win those two states with double-digit margins, I will eat my shoes.
And there’s my political views in a nutshell. Until next time!